Fantasy Football Busts 2026
Fantasy football is a ruthless game.
There is no loyalty.
There is no nostalgia.
There is no “but he used to be great.”
If you want to win in 2026, you have to be willing to let your league mates make mistakes while you draft with logic, trends, and cold reality.
That’s exactly what this article is about.
Below are five massive, big-name fantasy football players that I am completely out on for 2026 and beyond. These are not fringe players. These are household names that will still be drafted high — and that’s exactly why you need to avoid them.
Drafting declining stars is how championships are lost.
Let’s get into it.
Why You Must Identify “Do Not Draft” Players Early
Most fantasy managers make the same fatal mistake every year:
They draft based on name value and last year’s stats.
But fantasy football is not about what already happened.
It’s about what is about to happen.
And when it comes to aging players, injury history, workload decline, and positional dilution — the warning signs are already there if you’re willing to look.
These five players are the definition of overpriced risk heading into 2026.
❌ Player #1 to Avoid: Patrick Mahomes (QB)
Yes — Patrick Mahomes.
And no, this is not clickbait.
The Hard Fantasy Truth About Mahomes
Mahomes is one of the greatest real-life quarterbacks of all time.
That does not automatically make him a great fantasy asset anymore.
Here are the facts:
Finished QB12 in 2024
Finished QB11 this past season
Outside the fantasy top 10 two years in a row
Now rehabbing from an ACL/LCL knee injury
Entering his 10th NFL season
Mahomes relies heavily on mobility and off-script plays. Knee injuries do not help that profile — especially as quarterbacks age.
The Bigger Problem: Fantasy Opportunity Cost
Why would you draft Mahomes when:
Younger QBs are ascending
Elite rushing QBs offer higher weekly ceilings
You can get safer production later
Add in:
Ongoing receiver uncertainty
Travis Kelce nearing the end
Off-field uncertainty with key pass catchers
And suddenly, Mahomes becomes a name you pay for, not production you receive.
Verdict:
❌ Never drafting Mahomes again in fantasy football.
Henry, fall off in 2026? (Photo by Jordon Kelly/Icon Sportswire)
❌ Player #2 to Avoid: Derrick Henry (RB)
This one hurts people emotionally — but emotion doesn’t win fantasy leagues.
Derrick Henry’s 2025 Production:
Henry basically gave you one last monster year.
And historically?
That’s how this ends.
Why 2026 Is the Cliff Year
Running backs do not survive past:
Massive workloads
10+ NFL seasons
Physical running styles
Even if Henry is still “good,” the margin for error is gone.
Meanwhile, younger backs with higher ceilings are coming:
Drafting Henry in 2026 means betting against biology.
Verdict:
❌ Never drafting Derrick Henry again.
❌ Player #3 to Avoid: Davante Adams (WR)
Davante Adams is still productive — but fantasy football doesn’t care about “still good.”
Davante Adams 2025 Stats:
Here’s the issue:
His fantasy value is almost entirely touchdown-dependent.
If those touchdowns regress — and they always do — the floor collapses.
Context That Matters
Go back to earlier fantasy seasons:
222 points used to equal WR18–WR20
Wide receiver scoring is now heavily diluted
Younger receivers are emerging everywhere
Adams is no longer a volume-based WR1. He’s a high-risk TD bet on aging legs.
That’s not what you draft early.
Verdict:
❌ Avoid Davante Adams in 2026 drafts.
Kyle Pitts could easily bust in 2026! (Photo by Rich von Biberstein/Icon Sportswire)
❌ Player #4 to Avoid: Kyle Pitts (TE)
Kyle Pitts finally had a “good” year — and that’s exactly the problem.
Kyle Pitts 2025 Stats:
Let’s be very clear:
This was his pinnacle season.
Career Context Matters
5 seasons in the NFL
Only one truly strong fantasy season
Rookie year: 1,000+ yards, 1 touchdown
Inconsistent production year after year
Now he finishes near the top — which means his draft cost explodes.
And we’ve seen this movie before:
Brock Bowers had 262 fantasy points
Drafted early the next year
Lost nearly 100 fantasy points
Tight end production is volatile. Pitts has never shown consistency.
Verdict:
❌ Kyle Pitts will be overpriced — do not draft.
❌ Player #5 to Avoid: Christian McCaffrey (RB)
This is the biggest landmine in fantasy football.
Christian McCaffrey’s Injury Reality (Last 6 Seasons):
2020: 3 games played
2021: 7 games
2024: 4 games
Only 3 fully productive seasons out of 6
Entering his 10th NFL season
Coming off a 400+ fantasy point pinnacle year
That is not reliability.
That is a coin flip.
The Pattern Is Clear
McCaffrey follows a brutal cycle:
One elite year
One injury-wrecked year
Repeat
Fantasy managers keep convincing themselves this time will be different.
It won’t be.
Running backs coming off historic seasons almost always decline — especially at this age.
If someone else wants to overpay, let them.
Verdict:
❌ Never drafting Christian McCaffrey again.
Final Thoughts: Why Avoiding These Players Wins Leagues
Fantasy football championships are not won by drafting stars — they’re won by avoiding traps.
Every player on this list will:
Let your league mates draft them.
You draft:
Youth
Volume
Trend
Opportunity
That’s how you win in 2026.
Your Turn
Which player are you never drafting again?
Drop your thoughts below, and let’s keep the conversation going.
Fantasy football is a year-round game — and the offseason is where leagues are won. 🏈🔥
